Post: #1

I am Creating this as a Separate Thread to focus on Trump "Money Bomb" Profits Opps Like a LASER and keep all political discussions in the Original Epic Trump for President Thread where the politics belong - this thread is all About the Money.

The Emini ESU Futures Wick Sticked up with a touch to 2906 ALL TIME HIGH as an inverted hammer and pulling back looking at the TOP of Supercycle Wave 3 target of 2901 so now looking at the LONG SPY Puts Jan, March and June 2019 $2000 SPX - SPY $200 Puts to ride the 1980 to 2018/19 SuperCycle WAVE 4 slide from 2900 down to 2050.

NOW is the time for Long SCwave4 PUT buys to catch the full SCWave 4 run down - GreenPanda strongly recommended Long SPY Options Puts to catch full wave 4 retracements and then Eminis Futures with day trade lower margin for intraday IB+ Extension (Initial Balance plus Extension) Trade profits capture…

Supercycle Wave 4 will run in a subordinate Major 5 wave count so interim turning points like the $270 SPY PUT are quite a bit more expensive but likely to return more cash value even if at a lower percentage. On sub-wave 2 and 4 retraces SPY Calls will offer some profit as well.

Setting up Self Directed IRA Trading Accounts on Tastytrade and GFF and also my Etrade Options trading account for better tax management.

Every 10 Block approx equal to two Eminis in potential returns (10X times 5 = 50X leverage) depending upon the Buy price - looked up emini CME Group "price" at $2700.00 however the Trading Wizard known as GreenPanda mentioned individual brokerages can set their own prices... typical Day Trade Emini margins $1200 to $500 in some cases as low as $300.

June 200 Spy Put for a 10 contract block only 10 times the put contract cost $140X10 for $1400 plus 19.95 commission so quite reasonable to capture the full wave 4 projected run…

I have three 10 block $200 Strike (ESU/SPX 2050 Wave 4 low Target) target PUT contract offers at a nickel limit below low Bid price to lock in a long play and then setting up IRA trading accounts at Tastytrade and Global Futures - will also set up an Etrade IRA as well for Tax management. (Consult at Tax Pro for your situation). For the actual price for 10 PUT contracts multiply price offered below BID/ASK by 100 SPYs per PUT Option then times 10 for small blocks of 10 PUT Contracts. Hint $1,400 $850 $400 plus $10 to $20 commissions from Etrade. Not too bad. At 2900 Range this is the cheapest PUTS will be as they cost more as we move closer to the SCWave 4 retracement targets.

SPX Supercycle Wave 4 Retraces in a 5 Major "Sub" Wave patterns with the retracement targets listed - as we move into Wave 4 down these projected targets calculated on the Month, Week and Day charts will be tightened up.

SPX Same Chart Full Supercycle View from $102 in June 1980 to 2996 Sept 2018:

Temporary Tradingview Live Read Only SPX SuperCycle Chart subject to change as we refine and recalculate moving into Wave 4 and 5 Retracements. Includes SuperCycle Fibonacci Retracement Color code levels - Can also do and small Fibonacci Retracement on Top of SCWave 3 to projected Bottom SCWave 4
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/eJuQrhx0/

NOTE This is not Investment Advice in any way it is sharing info on a Major Supercycle Wave 4 Mathematical and calculated retracement that is informative in setting up S&P SPY and Emini Options and Futures Trades to capture the Wave 4 movements and potential profits.

For Example Supercycle Wave 4 Down approx 800 points plus Supercycle Wave 5 move back up = approximately 1300 points total times $50 per point leverage per Emini or 5 SPY PUTs/Calls = potential $65,000.00 full capture profits on the Full S&P 500 Stocks and Sectors with no single stock manipulations risk or limited # of stocks like the DOW, NASDAQ of Communist Freaking Red Chinese top 25 Stocks FXI.

How does a Panda Say KaChing ( Is It "Crunch" on sweet Bamboo shoots?)

Note I need some place to upload screen scraped images and link to this thread anyone have any how to reccs?

For a Word Doc Copy with Charts and Tables images inserted PM me with a Google or Protonmail adx to reply to.

Post: #2

It does feel like things are at the peak and it's starting to have a similar feel to the housing bubble around 2005/2006. Unfortunately it is really hard to time these events and by the time you know for sure it is either too late or priced in.

Usually Q4 does pretty well because of the holiday season so I can see Q4 being the last good quarter or one of the last good ones. But who knows anything could happen.

(08-28-2018 12:20 PM)Deepdiver Wrote:  June 200 Spy Put for a 10 contract block only 10 times the put contract cost $140X10 for $1400 plus 19.95 commission so quite reasonable to capture the full wave 4 projected run…

These are the same price on Robinhood (June 21, just check right now) without the $19.95 commission. I use Robinhood for all my trades now (except OTC which they don't do yet.) They also have a cool referral system where both parties get a free share in a random company.

The 200 Puts for June 2019 would require a 31% drop from current prices just to break even, do you think it would fall more than 31%?

Post: #3

@UN Possible Mathematical Retracements:

2350 to 2375 Fibonacci 23% a Wave 4 in 5 Subwaves Support/Resistance level down...
2050 Fibonacci 38% (.62 or 62% Golden Ratio inverse) most probable impulsing SCWave 3 Retracement (10% below SuperCycle RMS)
1800 Fibonacci 50%
1550 All Time Supercycle Congestive Wave 2 Double Top STRONG Support basically NO WAY this breaks down below here unless Wall St, Beijing and Moscow Nuked by Ancient Aliens simultaneously - just saying.

@UN: Does Robbinghood trade SPYs and Eminis Futures and what is their Emini Day Trading and Overnight margins if they do?

Post: #4

Deepdiver in Action 2day:

Why Trade S&P Options and Futures instead of individual stocks??? S&P Is made up of 500 major stocks across multiple industry segments it is nearly impossible to manipulate the entire market AND the S&P Futures are traded and hedged GLOBALLY and one of the most liquid markets in the World next to FOREX. Whereas many individual Stocks like Monster Beverage were recently manipulated like mad to cause severe drops in their Stock Prices after the Trump Tax Cuts and Offshore Funds repatriation lower tax rates took effect. MNST Upped their Stock Buyback authorized pool from $250M to $500M and then in Q1 and Q2 2018 somehow barely missed their earnings estimates and their stock crashed 20% with winks and nods all around Wall Street so they AND MNST Management could buy in at NEW lows and gain huge returns especially in Options when the Stock Buybacks completed lowering the supply of shares and increasing demand and value.

Supply & Demand - MNST a Legendary Winner that racked up 1,000X wins since changing from Hansen Bev to MNST years ago. MNST recently manipulated their shares with Wall Street's Insiders Blessing along with dozens of other stocks - How do I know I got caught on two major MNST options plays on the Wrong Side of these buyback trades and bought Calls Options at much too High a price as I did not expect MNST insiders to collude with Walls St insiders so blatantly and drive the Stock Down so much knocking 90% off the value of the MNST Calls OUCH. Live and Learn. Much more difficult to manipulate 500 stocks simultaneously across dozens of industry segments. Wisest traders will tell you "Why should I risk Trading individual stocks when with SPY Options and Emini S&P Futures I can trade the entire market at once". This epic wisdom struck me like a thunderbolt and I follow it every day since. Trumpian Truth Bomb Rant over.

I therefore had a suspicion that the S&P Futures Sept ESU2018 and Dec ESZ2018 1 Week, 1 Day, 4hr and 30 Minute Charts were still in strong fan up mode being all the moving averages 9, 20, 50, 100 ,200 stacked above each other with wide gaps between meaning STRONG upmarket Trend inertia to a pass-through situation above the TA or Technical Analytics calculated HIGHS - happens often on strong inertia ...

TA ATH(All Time High) S&P Sept ESU/ESZ2018 Futures is $2,901.00 and ATH actual today so far is $2,916.25 A.K.A. Virgin Territory Plowing New Ground Laying Miles of New Pipe - forgive the multiple entendres could not resist.

Therefore the higher on the S&P we go higher CALLs prices go and Lower PUTS prices so I had nickel lower offers on the SPY PUTs Jan $0.44, Mar $0.85 and June 2019 $1.45 Target $200 SPY PUTs...

I had limit orders in and with the S&P SURGING on a 2X Trending Day to a NEW ALL TIME HIGHs the following SPY PUT Limit Orders executed:

Symbol Last Price $ Change $ Change % Qty Price Paid $
SPYMar 29 19 $200 PutTrade 0.85 -0.05 -6.29% 10 0.85
SPYJan 18 19 $200 PutTrade 0.44 -0.04 -7.53% 20 0.44

% Change was From Yesterday I bought today at the PUT low price...

This means that at the now All-Time-High Edge of the S&P Supercycle Wave 3 @ S&P $2,916.25 (Could Pass Through a bit higher yet due to short-term market momentum) in transition to corrective Wave 4 and STRONG HIGH EDGE Range running down to the bottom of Wave 4 Target 2050 to 2000 or SPY 200 (SPYs Price approx 1/10th+/- of S&P/SPX).

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/eJuQrhx0/#

Imagine if we run down to the bottom of SuperCycle Wave 4 at 2000 and then back up to SCwave 1 = 5 of 3500 over the next couple years completing a 5 Wave S&P Long Term SuperCycle that is 900 points down and 1500 points up or 2400 total points times $50 per Point per each 1 point of capture on every one S&P Emini Futures or 5 SPY Options contracts.

2400 points times $50.00 per point equals wait, wait get your phone calculators out wait, wait, wait YOU GOT IT One Hundred and Twenty Thousands of USA Fed Fiat Freaking Money yes $120,000 or if you do 10 Eminis or 50 to 100 Long-Term SPY Options = $1.2 Million Capture over the next few years. This is my Deepdiving plan to cash in legally minimizing/deferring taxes and make use of to BUY Real Value (Ancient European Families always bought Ag lands Vineyards/Orchards etc, Gold & Silver and Ancient Art to maintain their legacy wealth in Trusts across the generations). Better yet if you trade from a self-directed IRA account you can defer the taxes till you begin to withdraw at 59.5 or mandatory withdrawals and Tax capture at your now low retired tax rates72 Years old and able to pledge this new wealth as collateral from said same self-directed Roth etc IRAs and buy Farms or AirBnB ready resort income properties that pay for you to live in as the Managers.

Best kept secret is I am only buying in small blocks of 10 SPYs now until I get all my Self Directed Trading IRAs set up - the Highest Probability Trades are always the Subwave 1 complete then SubWave 2 edge reversing into the impulsing SubWave 3 of of the further impulsing SuperCycle Wave 4. Like a PIMP putting his stable of coke whores on Friday night PCP boosts.

You can make bank of the fact I am keeping powder Dry to back up the Truck and Buy more than 100 SPY PUTs and intraday trade 10 to 20 S&P Eminis on the TOP EDGE of SubWave2 when it transitions down into IMPULSING SubWave 3!!!!

This is money that comes FAST that would make PIMPS and HOES and SLOES all blush.

At the risk of offending any Blue Pill SJWs this predictive analytics knowledge is like PIMP Slapping the world markets into a working bunch of your very own Personal S&Psloes no matter where you are on Earth - the ULTIMATE LOCATION INDEPENDENT income stream.

Just paying it forward to those on RVF willing to take action as well. Don't take my Word for it BUY a copy of the Professional Traders Desk Reference "Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets, A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods & Applications" updated version of Technical Analysis of the Futures Markets by John J. Murphy - I paid $65 for my Hard Copy on Amazon. And DO YOUR OWN Maths.

Words and Rhetoric are full of lies and Deceit - [Market] Actions Never Lie.

Deepdiver Dropping the Mic icon here... I am so phocking aroused from this TRUMP MONEY BOMB $$$ I got to go knock off a piece - later.

OBTW Interesting not one person on RVF has sent me a PM with a Gmail or Protonmail adx requesting last weeks intensive EOW or End of Week Review Report Word Doc with my Institutional ProTrading Expert. Go figure...

Post: #5

(08-29-2018 01:25 PM)Deepdiver Wrote:  OBTW Interesting not one person on RVF has sent me a PM with a Gmail or Protonmail adx requesting last weeks intensive EOW or End of Week Review Report Word Doc with my Institutional ProTrading Expert. Go figure...

I can't speak for the rest of the forum but all I see here is how easy this trading stuff is and how the fat, bitch-slapping profits will just fall into your lap. I've traded for a long time myself, had lots of ups and downs in the market, and when I see this kind of talk I get very skeptical.

If it were so easy, we'd all be doing it.

There are a select few who can consistently pull large sums of money out of the markets. They don't go around talking like this.

Amateurs focus on how much they can make. Professionals focus on how much they can lose.

Just my opinion here, Fibonacci and Elliot wave are junk science. If I want waves I'll go to the beach. If I want to take money out of the markets I'll follow price action.

I've got my own system. If you're going to trade real money you better get yours.

Post: #6

(08-29-2018 01:25 PM)Deepdiver Wrote:  OBTW Interesting not one person on RVF has sent me a PM with a Gmail or Protonmail adx requesting last weeks intensive EOW or End of Week Review Report Word Doc with my Institutional ProTrading Expert. Go figure...

You posted the same post with minor alterations in something like 4 spots on the forum, and your writing style is a little hard to follow. I'd read it pretty thoroughly in the private forum and didn't see anything about emailing you. I'll hit you up from my burner yahoo acct later, because I would like to see it.

I appreciate you taking the time to type this up. I'd love to hear about some past elliot wave trades you've made, if you don't mind, by the way. It's not very highly regarded among most traders I know, and I've never really been able to get it to work myself, but it's possible we're all just missing something.

Post: #7

(08-29-2018 02:05 PM)Payback Wrote:  

(08-29-2018 01:25 PM)Deepdiver Wrote:  OBTW Interesting not one person on RVF has sent me a PM with a Gmail or Protonmail adx requesting last weeks intensive EOW or End of Week Review Report Word Doc with my Institutional ProTrading Expert. Go figure...

I can't speak for the rest of the forum but all I see here is how easy this trading stuff is and how the fat, bitch-slapping profits will just fall into your lap. I've traded for a long time myself, had lots of ups and downs in the market, and when I see this kind of talk I get very skeptical.

If it were so easy, we'd all be doing it.

There are a select few who can consistently pull large sums of money out of the markets. They don't go around talking like this.

Amateurs focus on how much they can make. Professionals focus on how much they can lose.

Just my opinion here, Fibonacci and Elliot wave are junk science. If I want waves I'll go to the beach. If I want to take money out of the markets I'll follow price action.

I've got my own system. If you're going to trade real money you better get yours.

@Payback (ZEEERO 0 Phocking Rep Points??? I appreciate Constructive Criticism but from a Zero Rep Pointer PHOCKING AYY DUDE))

LOL - I work with one of the World's Top Global Trading Strategists who actively manages a multi $100M book with record low 5 yr drawdowns and highest return rates in the firm.

So your condescending comments about Pros and Amateurs is just gratuitous SJW mangina noise too me. I posted above that my blunt no bullshite military slorephocking attitude and writing style would likely offend Blue Pill SJW Male Feminist Manginas - thanks for proving me right.

I am selling phocking NOTHING to anyone here just sharing what is working for me in the markets now at this point in time.

These are Trades I am Cautiously putting my own MONEY into on the ATH Edge of the S&P SuperCycle Wave 3. If I am wrong then I will lose my money - already made 250% on one FXI Wave reversal investment at the recent Wave 4 low... earlier this week over a two week period ... go figure.

I use over 51 varied Mathematical Confirmations to account for all possible Permutations and Combinations then laser focus on the Highest Probability trades. They call it Math for a Reason.

@Payback - If you think the Fibonacci math sequence and Elliott Wave theory is "Junk Science" we can not have an intelligent conversation so please stay out of my threads.

@Faust no problem shoot me a gmail or protonmail adx in a PM and I will shoot my last EOW Review - as I value useful feedback from other Red Pill Men actually in the Ring. Also why I created this single focused topic/thread to share Trades where I put my money where my mouth and math is both + and or - in one location to keep the non-traders, politics and assorted Zeeero Rep manginas out of a bunch of tangentially related threads... was going to put it in the private lounge but not as much action there and useful constructive criticism from less active members forces me to sharpen my maths and multiple confirmations models before I launch my private Stealth Platform.

Ancient Wisdom - The secret of LUCK is being Prepared when the timing and opportunities move in your direction.

Post: #8

@Payback

I posted this in the private lounge but it is worth mentioning here also. Paul Tudor Jones, a legend in trading, is a huge fan of Elliot Wave theory and used it to predict the Black Monday crash in 1987.

He made a short documentary following him as he was doing the analysis called Trader (1987) that shows exactly what he did. The guy is worth multiple billion of dollars now.

You should post something constructive. If you don't like something tell us WHY. What is wrong with his analysis. Right now there is nothing to be gained from your post other than FUD.

Here is a short video on PTJ

Post: #9

(08-29-2018 03:11 PM)CaptainChardonnay Wrote:  @Payback

I posted this in the private lounge but it is worth mentioning here also. Paul Tudor Jones, a legend in trading, is a huge fan of Elliot Wave theory and used it to predict the Black Monday crash in 1987.

He made a short documentary following him as he was doing the analysis called Trader (1987) that shows exactly what he did. The guy is worth multiple billion of dollars now.

You should post something constructive. If you don't like something tell us WHY. What is wrong with his analysis. Right now there is nothing to be gained from your post other than FUD.

Here is a short video on PTJ

LOL I searched PBS Trader with Paul Tudor Jones and found:
A Few Possible Reasons Why Paul Tudor Jones Despises His Infamous Documentary, 'Trader'
https://www.businessinsider.com/why-paul...der-2013-1

PTJ seems to have done quite a serious job of scrubbing the interweb of this content considering his Hedge Fund is Estimated over $12B USD no wonder even Business Insider and CNBC links result in No Video Found results... looks like folks were able to download copies before he starting scrubbing the web - if anyone finds a live video link not attached to spurious malware sites shoot me a PM.

Post: #10

@DD I'll email it to you. Most of it is what they say. He was aggressively trading. He believed in himself. He used Elliot Wave theory to make it big. The whole way through he was on the edge of his seat. What he did was not for the faint of heart.

I read that he wanted to scrub it from the internet because it revealed too much of his trading strategy.

Post: #11

Interesting Results to take Note of Today:

SPX traded from 2895 to 2912 closing at 2901 down $12.91
SPY Traded from 289.63 to 291.36 closing at 290.30 down $1.18

Positions:
Symbol Last Price$ Change$ Change% Qty  Paid $ Days Gain $ Total Gain $ Total Gain % Value $
SPYMar 29 19 $200 PutTrade 0.90 0.10 12.27% 10 0.85 100.00 54.91 6.38% 915.00
SPYJan 18 19 $200 PutTrade 0.46 0.03 6.90% 20 0.44 60.00 34.77 3.88% 930.00

Watch List:
Symbol Last Price $ Change $ Change % Qty  Price WhenAdded Date Added Total Gain $ Total Gain % Value $
SPY Mar 29 19 $200 Put 0.90 0.07 8.43% -1 0.90 08/26/2018 0.00 0.00% -90.00
SPY Jan 18 19 $220 Put 0.86 0.10 13.16% 1 0.89 08/26/2018 -3.00 -3.37% 86.00
SPY Jan 18 19 $200 Put 0.46 0.04 9.52% 1 0.50 08/26/2018 -4.00 -8.00% 46.00

If you look at the positions table the March 29 2019 $200 PUTs moved 10 cents per contract and added $100 in Value on 10 PUTs.
Therefore 1 Put up 10 cents yielded $10 in profit, 10.00 divided by 10 cents equals leverage of 1.00 per 1 cent or 100 to 1 leverage

If you look at the positions table the January 18 2019 $200 PUTs moved 3 cents per contract and added $60 in Value on 20 PUTs
Therefore 1 Put up 3 cents yielded $3 in profit, 3.00 divided by 3 cents equals leverage of 1.00 per 1 cent or 100 to 1 leverage.

Therefore our Two Sweetspot Jan and Mar $200 PUT Trades are both yielding a 100X multiple at this time.

Spy Close today was 290.30, Wave 4 target low is $200.00 or approx a $90.00 Capture range per Put Contract.

$90.00 X 100 Multiple = $9,000.00 potential capture per PUT contract times 10 PUTS = $90,000.00 or double for 20 PUTs.

Appears to make sense to add 10 more March $200 puts on the retest of todays highs at lower PUT cost.

Will be doing an EOW (End Of Week) Review tomorrow evening to more tightly focus on the actual Hard Wave 3 Top calculations using multiple confirmations including Time, Price, Volume, Chart Patterns, Fibonacci Maths, EWs et.al. Once we establish the Hard Top and Market Turn from SuperCycle Wave Three into a reversal SuperCycle Wave 4 will likely up the contracts to 50 March PUTs and 100 Jan Puts as the math indicates they are both at a 100X Multiple which can change over time ... though each PUT appears to offer double the 50X Multiple of Eminis either Sept ESU2018 or Dec ESZ2018.

NOTE: This discussion is not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Post: #12

EOW Wisdom from the Magical Mystical Green Panda Money Maestro Fri 31 August 2018

EOW Review with SPY PUTS Watchlist and SuperCycle Wave 4 Five Major Waves subwave targets along with Fib Targets and SPY PUTS Watchlist Targets - every 1$ in SPY moves equals $10 profit capture per CME/CFTC market specs - can vary depending upon open interest(# Outstanding Contracts), demand and acceleration factors.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/eJuQrhx0/# Read Only Live Chart.

Weekly S&P SPX 5 Wave SuperCycle Projected SuperCycleWave 4 Sub Major 5 Wave Count and Fibonacci Retracement Targets:
Fib levels close to projected 200, 100, 50, 20, 9 Week Moving Averages will bend in the down trend of SCWave 4...
Subwave 2to4 Trendline is a close overlay on 50 Week Moving Average. All Maths Rechecked and On Target +/- a few % Daily/Weekly trading ranges.

NOTE Five key Moving Averages still Strong Up-Trend on Weekly Charts so still building a Wave 3 ATH Top - when it Reverses Trend the Market Tops Reverse Quickly whereas bottoms form more slowly.

FUD Jumps out of Windows whereas FOMO runs up stairs.

SPX "S&P Cash" Market Close on Friday 21August2018 = $2,901.52
SPY PUTs Watchlist various Time Expirations and StrikePrice In and Out of the Money Targets related to MW Wave Targets... SPY Tracks SPX on a fairly constant SPX $1move equal to SPY $10 ratio multiple move.
10 SPY Contracts = 100 Multiple
100 SPY Contracts = 1000 Multiple

SPY Watchlist Oct18 to June19 Examples SPY 200, 210, 220, 230, 260, 270:

IMPORTANT NOTE: Wise Markets Mystic GreenPanda likes MW1 target Oct 270 SPY PUTs and Jan to March 200, 210, 220, 230 SPY PUTS for the MW 3 and MW5/SCW4 Targets

Watchlist SPY PUTs Prices as of Friday 31 August 2018:

Symbol Last Price$ Change$ Change% Qty PriceWhenAdded DateAdded TotalGain$ TotalGain% Value$ Actions

SPY Mar 29 19 $270 Put 6.15 0.26 4.41% 1 6.54 08/26/2018 -49.00-7.49% 615.00
SPY Mar 29 19 $260 Put 4.86 0.21 4.52% 1 5.27 08/26/2018 -71.00-13.47% 486.00
SPY Oct 19 18 $290 Put 4.05 -0.40-8.99% 0 4.05 09/01/2018 0.00 0.00% 0.00
SPY Jan 18 19 $270 Put 3.90 -0.20-4.88% 1 3.90 08/31/2018 0.00 0.00% 390.00
SPY Dec 31 18 $270 Put 3.54 0.21 6.31% 1 3.54 08/31/2018 0.00 0.00% 354.00
SPY Jun 28 19 $220 Put 2.61 0.00 0.00% 1 2.61 08/26/2018 0.00 0.00% 261.00
SPY Mar 29 19 $230 Put 1.88 0.00 0.00% 1 2.15 08/26/2018 -19.00-8.84% 188.00
SPY Oct 19 18 $280 Put 1.75 -0.24-12.06% 0 1.75 09/01/2018 0.00 0.00% 0.00
SPY Jun 28 19 $200 Put 1.52 0.00 0.00% 1 1.72 08/26/2018 -23.00-13.37% 152.00
SPY Mar 29 19 $220 Put 1.49 0.00 0.00% 1 2.10 08/26/2018 -61.00-29.05% 149.00
SPY Mar 29 19 $210 Put 1.34 0.00 0.00% -1 1.34 08/26/2018 0.00 0.00% -134.00
SPY Oct 19 18 $270 Put 0.99 -0.05-4.81% 0 0.99 09/01/2018 0.00 0.00% 0.00
SPY Mar 29 19 $200 Put 0.90 0.00 0.00% -1 0.90 08/26/2018 0.00 0.00% -90.00
SPY Jan 18 19 $220 Put 0.84 -0.02-2.33% 1 0.89 08/26/2018 -8.00-8.99% 84.00
SPY Jan 18 19 $200 Put 0.50 0.04 8.70% 1 0.50 08/26/2018 0.00 0.00% 50.00

Hint Bold Above where Truck is backing up this week from IRA Trading Accounts... You can lead Horses To Water but can't force them to Drink whereas FUD and FOMO Stampedes come naturally.

NOTE Each SPY Options Contract is for 100 SPY ETF shares thus the 100X Cost of the SPY PRICE$ both PUTS(Short) and or CALLs(Long).

NOTE: This discussion is not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Post: #13

(08-29-2018 02:48 PM)Deepdiver Wrote:  @Payback (ZEEERO 0 Phocking Rep Points??? I appreciate Constructive Criticism but from a Zero Rep Pointer PHOCKING AYY DUDE))

Why are you using rep points on a game forum as a proxy for market knowledge? Independently of your analysis being right or wrong you can't be seriously using this argument, as if what he said had more weight if he had 50 rep points for posting about completely non related subjects.

He did provide constructive criticism, elliott waves and fibonacci retracements don't work, but because you didn't like what he said you attacked him personally instead of his argument.

Post: #14

(08-29-2018 03:11 PM)CaptainChardonnay Wrote:  @Payback
I posted this in the private lounge but it is worth mentioning here also. Paul Tudor Jones, a legend in trading, is a huge fan of Elliot Wave theory and used it to predict the Black Monday crash in 1987.

Is he really?

Post: #15

(09-02-2018 11:45 AM)Teutatis Wrote:  

(08-29-2018 02:48 PM)Deepdiver Wrote:  @Payback (ZEEERO 0 Phocking Rep Points??? I appreciate Constructive Criticism but from a Zero Rep Pointer PHOCKING AYY DUDE))

Why are you sing rep points on a game forum as a proxy for market knowledge?Independently of your analysis being right or wrong you can't be seriously using this argument, as if what he said had more weight if he had 50 rep points for posting about completely non related subjects.

He did provide constructive criticism, elliott waves and fibonacci retracements don't work.

Deepdiver Reply:

Zero Rep Points status has a long-standing basis on this forum as an indicator of lack of established credibility... The issue I have with you and the Zeeero pointer is that you arrogantly assume that I only use Fibonacci (which is PROVEN math so saying that Math Does not work indicates that your own judgment may lack credibility) and EW Theory which are only 2 of many multiple tested and proven mathematical modeling algorithms that when correlated help to define the sweet spot with the highest probability trades that I THEN PUT MY OWN RISK CAPITAL to work on. I have chosen to share here to give back to the RVF Red Pill community that I have gained much from if only confirmation of my own Liberty and Freedom Loving Red Pill Constitutionalists beliefs and Core values.

I have heard many critics deride Fibonacci Math and Elliott Wave theory as Junk Science, Vodoo Math, and that the entire field of Technical Analysis is invalid. Why I approached Technical Market Analysis with a healthy dose of skepticism. Some people believe there is a superior race of Space Aliens residing in Antartica controlling the global elites and the arcs of all of our lives which therefore makes Technical Market Analysis obsolete so why bother... You are all allowed to believe whatever you want ...

I am a believer in Liberty, Freedom and Proven Truths of Free Markets that I can test and prove with my own Eyes and Mind and capital and repeat in a reliable, consistent and profitable manner.

I posted the foundational TA Reference by John J. Murphy above...
https://www.amazon.com/Technical-Analysi...735200661/
Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications (New York Institute of Finance)

When any of my arrogant critics here actually want to get beyond who has a bigger dick and can phuck the most and hottest Slores contest and actually read this seminal desk reference widely used among most long-term successful traders and discuss TA aspects in a positive constructive criticism manner I will engage.

Dismissal of Math and focus on only Fibonacci and EW theory to disparage Technical Analysis, in general, is a sign of a closed and self-selected ignorant mindset. These I will ignore.

If you instead approach TA and study Murphy with an open mind what you will learn is Fibonacci and EW Analysis are basically general guides that can be compared to treasure maps that provide indicators of trends reversals and are then refined buy a multitude of proven mathematical methods some that remain constant and some that vary over time which is why multiple confirmations are employed and tested continually for accurate and profitable results both long and or short as the markets indicate.

What I will testify to is that I have been working with a very very rich and successful active institutional trader who is an expert on all aspects of Murphy's work and added his own novel algorithms based upon his Aeronautical Engineer's foundational background genius mindset and who has made serious money on my own focus and analysis on widely held baskets of securities Call and Put options including SPY, China FXI et.al. and when following proper risk management disciplines have a solid track record of my own wins and why I am sharing these SuperCycle Market trend reversal indicators further refined with multiple confirmations as opportunities I am in fact putting my own risk capital to work in with confidence.

So Yes if all you rely on is EW Theory and Fibonacci alone it can be like following a detour sign off of an interstate without a map or GPS to guide you to where you might be headed and not having these confirmations or local [market] knowledge they frequently get lost and experience losses.

I have been working on learning advanced TA for three years with 100% focus on a detailed knowledge engineering expert systems project since April and with high degree of confidence test my analytics with my own money and then post results both positive (SPY and FXI Calls and Puts options) and negative (MNST Calls etc).

This is the last post where I will defend myself against the "TA is Junk Voodoo Science" and Zeeero Rep Points FUD spreading crowd who I will ignore from now on with a bold simple IGNORED reply.

Anyone who wants to ask constructive questions are free to PM me where I will endeavor to research, analyze and answer questions either by PM or if warranted secure email and if it will add to this thread then post publicly.

I Stand By My Analysis.

Deepdiver
NBF - Nuke Boats Forever

NOTE: This discussion is not intended as investment advice in any way shape or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only now that we are entering a Major S&P Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Post: #16

Rep points have zero to do with the validity of anyone's opinion on this subject

I never said or even implied you only use fibonaccis or elliot waves

I never said TA is voodoo, on the contrary, I use it myself, I don't pay much attention to fundamentals

You are waaay too sensitive to any opinion that doesn't agree with yours, but sure, take your ball and go home.

Post: #17

(09-02-2018 02:29 PM)Teutatis Wrote:  Rep points have zero to do with the validity of anyone's opinion on this subject

I never said or even implied you only use fibonaccis or elliot waves

I never said TA is voodoo, on the contrary, I use it myself, I don't pay much attention to fundamentals

You are waaay too sensitive to any opinion that doesn't agree with yours, but sure, take your ball and go home.

For clarification purposes you wrote: "elliott waves and fibonacci retracements don't work".
Two posts and you have nothing positive to contribute to the thread. Nuff said.

Post: #18

(09-02-2018 12:04 PM)Teutatis Wrote:  

(08-29-2018 03:11 PM)CaptainChardonnay Wrote:  @Payback
I posted this in the private lounge but it is worth mentioning here also. Paul Tudor Jones, a legend in trading, is a huge fan of Elliot Wave theory and used it to predict the Black Monday crash in 1987.

Is he really?

This link literally says Prechter correctly used EWT.

Quote:It must be said that Prechter was an investment guru in the 1980s, mainly because he had correctly predicted the start of the bull market in 1982 (by using Elliot Wave).

EWT is one tool in a tool box. If PTJ decided at that time to fade Prechter then thats really up to his discretion. It obviously worked out since he's worth multiple billion of dollars now.

It sounds like this guy knows more about PTJ's strategy than PTJ himself. Nitpicking small details instead of seeing the big picture.

Post: #19

(09-02-2018 10:43 PM)CaptainChardonnay Wrote:  

(09-02-2018 12:04 PM)Teutatis Wrote:  

(08-29-2018 03:11 PM)CaptainChardonnay Wrote:  @Payback
I posted this in the private lounge but it is worth mentioning here also. Paul Tudor Jones, a legend in trading, is a huge fan of Elliot Wave theory and used it to predict the Black Monday crash in 1987.

Is he really?

This link literally says Prechter correctly used EWT.

Quote:It must be said that Prechter was an investment guru in the 1980s, mainly because he had correctly predicted the start of the bull market in 1982 (by using Elliot Wave).

EWT is one tool in a tool box. If PTJ decided at that time to fade Prechter then thats really up to his discretion. It obviously worked out since he's worth multiple billion of dollars now.

It sounds like this guy knows more about PTJ's strategy than PTJ himself. Nitpicking small details instead of seeing the big picture.

Bottom line is I created this thread to share with other RVF Red Pill men real solid Institutional Markets Intel that a major 38 Year S&P Supercycle Wave three is making an ATH top and reversing into a very profitable 5 Major Sub Wave 4 SuperCycle wave setup (Meaning SuperCycle Wave 4 will complete in 5 Major Waves indicated on the Tradingview read-only live link upthread)... with very specific SPY PUTs profit opps that I am already cautiously entering at the ATH with smaller test trades (upthread) and that my Trading Advisor to my stealth project mentioned in the recent EOW review that he is backing the truck up on - bold SPY puts in the watchlist table above.

I wished I had the benefit of this institutional Red Pill $$$ trading knowledge after I got my honorable discharge instead of going to work with a bunch of corporate tech geek potheads. Just paying it forward here and now.

Post: #20

EOW Fri 31Aug2018 Updated SPX ATH SCW3 to SuperCycle Wave 4 Turn - in 5 Major Wave (Subwaves) Projected Targets with Fibonacci Retracements Graph...

Note a multitude of Maths confirmations with most likely Permutations and Combinations employed.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/eJuQrhx0/#

Post: #21

Pending Initial Limit Orders - Waiting for S&P retest of 2900+ will see which orders fill as I am bidding limits 5 to 10 cents or more below current bid/asks...

SPY PUT Trucks are backing up to the loading docks and beginning to load up...

Date Order # Type Order Summary Bid Ask Last
Price Status Related Links
Order
Type Quantity
(Exec / Entered) Symbol Price
Type Term Price
09/05/18 3 Option
Buy Open
60
SPY Jan 18 '19 $200 Put

Limit GT 60 0.40 0.47
0.48
0.44
Open Change Cancel
09/05/18 2 Option
Buy Open
20
SPY Jan 18 '19 $220 Put

Limit Day 0.70 0.86
0.88
0.85
Open Change Cancel
09/05/18 1 Option
Buy Open
20
SPY Oct 19 '18 $270 Put

Limit Day 0.90 1.16
1.17
1.15
Open Change Cancel

09/05/18 422 Option
Buy Open
80
SPY Jan 18 '19 $200 Put

Limit GT 60 0.40 0.45
0.47
0.48
Open Change Cancel

Post: #22

FYI:

From John J. Murphy TAFM Desk Reference mentioned up-thread, Chapter 5 Major Reversal Patterns...

Classic Market Top reversal pattern Head with Left Shoulder waiting for the right shoulder formation before impulsing 5 major wave retracement from SPY 290 to SPY 200 targets...

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/sPmWJyJw/

Post: #23

URGENT Did a Mid Week Review with the Sensei Green Panda last night & two big high probability profit trading opps coming up...

Major Wave 1 now executing over the next week in 5 Subwaves... to cut through all the EW, Fibonacci and Daily and Weekly Pivot points and Price action etc etc calculations... We will be buying more SPY PUTS at retests of SPX & Emini at 2900 - and SPY approx 290.00

Wind up that these are the target trades end of this week and next week - EOW review as usual Friday/Saturday will document short week effects on the trading week (typically 3 congestive and two trending days in a 5 day normal trading week)...

SPY PUTS 270, 200, 220 above... (Estimate 3X to 5X Short Term Subwave 2to3 and Retests).

PUTS 2900/2895 down to 2841/50 (Approx SPY 290-250= 4 Full points capture of SPY Run down)

Retest New Weekly projected Pivot Point 2880/2900 again... sell to close and take 50% Profits here for risk management

2nd Profits Opp:

PUTS 2880/2900 Retest High down to 2800/2790 (SPYs approx 1/10th) approx 9 full point SPY capture which can equal 3 to 5 times plus.
Sell to close remaining 270's for 2nd block of 50% profits and sell 30% 200s/220s and hold 20% flyers down to bottom subwave 5 to 2000/200.

This way you fliers are paid for with locked profits and you are trading with House Money! Enforce this trading Discipline and you will profit or worst case black Swan will break even... If trading Futures always use a trailing stop loss 5% beyond the current 9% Daily Range so 4.5% in direction of trend plus 5%.

Note a 5% to 10% Trailing Stop Loss will lock in most SPY profits (90%+ if not Stopped Out) if you do not want to be glued to your Trading Center PC and HDMI 4K HDTV monitor from 6AM to 4PM every day.

10:45AM EDT Today 6Sept2018 Emini at 2880.00 SPY $288.00 Very close 10 to 1 ratio as we are reverse at a market top more often than not Futures Emini (ESU2018 Sept, ESZ2018 Dec) Lead the SPY which is an ETF and amalgamating computations of value tend to build in a bit of a price lag high and or low... since we are making an Arc at the Top the Futures Eminis, Cash SPX and SPY rations are very tight and close at the moment.

Deepdiver
NBF - Nuke Boats Forever

NOTE: This discussion is not intended as investment advice in any way, shape, or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only for discussing that we are now making a major Market Top and entering a Major S&P 38 Year Long Supercycle Top and Wave 3 to 4 Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Post: #24

Friday, September 8th, 2018 EOW Update

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/eJuQrhx0/#

We have explained that we are at a 38 Year S&P SuperCycle Wave 3 Top Turning into SuperCycle Wave 4 down.

The Supercycle Wave 3 to 4 Is further Broken Down into 5 Major Waves MW1 through MW5.

This EOW Review we broke Major Wave 1 from the All Time High (ATH) 2916 to MW1 Target 2680/2700 into 5 Subwaves that we calculated with over a Dozen+ Major TA Rules Algorithms and Confirmations interdependencies with multiple Probabilities isolated to the mathematically and Psychologically most probable..

I do not have time today to Draw the MW1 Minor Subwaves 1 through 5 (Much smaller Subwaves would Clutter the Supercycle/Major Subwaves chart live link above) executing over the next couple weeks (Now) but we will list the most Probable.

Background info:

The classification of a wave at any particular degree can vary, though Technical Analysts generally agree on the standard order of degrees (approximate durations given):

Grand supercycle: multi-century
Supercycle: multi-decade (about 40–70 years)
Cycle: one year to several years (or even several decades under an Elliott Extension)
Primary: a few months to a couple of years
Intermediate: weeks to months
Minor: weeks
Minute: days
Minuette: hours
Subminuette: minutes

So since these targets are over the next few weeks these are "Minor Wave" Counts extending into "Intermediate" waves.

Therefore these will be indicated as 1-5 "MinWv" followed by A-B-C Intwaves. REMEMBER we only use Waves and Fibonacci range Retracements and or Extensions like an Interstate Road Map and then use multiple additional Confirmation refinements as a much more immediate timeframe GPS & ETA if you will as an analogy to provide us with highly probable trading predictive analytics.

Major Wave 1 from SPX (a.k.a S&P Cash) high 2916 to 2860 to 2865/70:

MinWave 1 - 2916 down to 2884

MinWave 2 - 2864 up to 2898/2900

MinWave 3 - Impulsing and most Probable and therefore PROFITABLE...
2898/2900 down to 2866

MinWave 4 - 2866 up to 2880

MinWave 5 - 2880 down to 2860/65

Then trend change is a three count ABC as follows:

IntWave A from 2860/65 up to 2895/96 ( likely wick up to 2900 retest)

IntWave B from 2895 down to 2840/50

IntWave C from 2840/50 up to 2880.

MinWaves 3 to 4 are impulsing waves in a market correction downtrend so fast moving impulsing wave.

Same with IntWave B...

Subsequent Minor Subwaves analysis will include process/waves down to the bottom of MW1 target 2680/2700.

I am currently holding 180 SPY Puts contracts looking to add 20 to 30 more Monday or Tuesday to catch the immediate 2900 to 2860 run. 1/10 ratio on SPYs so 290 to 286 - 4 full SPY points capture multiplied by 100 SPYs per contract ...
$400 per SPY Put Option Contract times approx 200 Contracts = potential $80K in this portion of the planned trades of the SuperCycle Wave 3 to 4 turn.

I am trading various expirations dates and strike prices to build real market data inputs to my planned Advanced Trading Heuristics and Predictive Analytics engines project now in Stealth mode. EOW Watchlist SPY PUTS follow:

Symbol LastPrice$ Change$ Change% Qty PriceWhenAdded DateAdded TotalGain$ TotalGain% Value$
SPY Jun 28 19 $200 Put 1.69 0.10 6.29% 1 1.72 08/26/2018 -3.00 -1.74% 169.00
SPY Nov 16 18 $260 Put 1.53 0.10 6.99% 1 1.53 09/09/2018 0.00 0.00% 153.00
SPY Oct 19 18 $270 Put 1.21 0.04 3.42% 1 0.99 09/01/2018 22.00 22.22% 121.00
SPY Jan 18 19 $220 Put 0.93 0.05 5.68% 1 0.89 08/26/2018 4.00 4.49% 93.00
SPY Mar 29 19 $200 Put 0.88 0.00 0.00% 1 0.90 08/26/2018 -10.00 -11.11% -88.00
SPY Jan 18 19 $200 Put 0.54 0.05 10.20% 1 0.50 08/26/2018 3.00 6.00% 54.00

Good Hunting...

Deepdiver
NBF - Nuke Boats Forever

NOTE: This discussion is not intended as investment advice in any way, shape, or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only for discussing that we are now making a major Market Top and entering a Major S&P 38 Year Long Supercycle Top Wave 3 to 4 Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.

Post: #25

S&P Futures Range Today 2879 to 2895 retesting 2900 near ATH (All Time High) Edge of 2916.50.

Preparing for Minor Wave (Sub-Subset of the SuperCycle Wave 3 to 4 Turning Top) test to down to 2840/2850 before retest of 2880 and subsequent minor wave to target 2845 which will likely wick down to the 50 DMA at 2830.

That would be SPY 289.5 down to 284/285 or 4.5 to 5.5 points.

Every One SPY PUT $1 move down equates to $100 as one SPY PUT controls 100 SPY ETF shares.

Average $5 this minor wave move multiplied by 100X One PUT Option contract on 100 SPY ETF Shares = $500.00

232 Put Contracts at various expirations and Strike Prices X avg $500 per contract = $116K Potential.

I am using various Expiration Dates and Strike Prices because I am working on an algorithm for projecting future trade values of SPY PUTs and CALLs based upon time decay to expiration plus intrinsic value change in Price down for PUTs up for CALLs, and Acceleration factor especially for PUTs, for example it took the S&P 17 weeks to climb to the January 2018 Swing High of 2889 and then only 2 weeks to correct to the Jan 2018 Swing low of 2538 a 351 point S&P SPX/Emini swing and a 35 Point SPY Capture as it is typically priced 1/10 to SPX. These accelerated Down-trend impulses are what make now a particularly exciting time for profit capture - My S&P Trading Advisor is holding over 6000 SPY PUT Contracts and loading up when S&P Emini hits the 2900 Technical Target equating to 290 on the SPY.

Proper Trading Discipline is to take half the profits off the table at one half of the move (2860 SPX /286 SPY), next 25% at the next one-quarter of the projected move and then last 25% for the full ride as fliers to catch any possible mathematical extension beyond the Technical Analysis highest probability targets.

Since we were near the ATH Top Turning SC3 to SC4 Edge the PUTS dropped in price to solid buys today:

Todays SPY PUTs Watchlist at 4PM NYC Time:

Symbol LastPrice$ Change$ Change% Qty PriceWhenAdded DateAdded
SPY Jun 28 19 $200 Put 1.49 0.00 0.00% 1 1.72 08/26/2018
SPY Nov 16 18 $260 Put 1.00 -0.09-8.26% 1 1.53 09/09/2018
SPY Mar 29 19 $200 Put 0.88 0.00 0.00% 1 0.90 08/26/2018
SPY Oct 19 18 $270 Put 0.75 -0.03-3.85% 1 0.99 09/01/2018
SPY Jan 18 19 $220 Put 0.69 -0.06-8.00% 1 0.89 08/26/2018
SPY Jan 18 19 $200 Put 0.40 -0.01-2.44% 1 0.50 08/26/2018

NOTE Plenty more PUT and some Call Profit opportunities as the SCWave 4 bottoms at the Technical Analysis target of 2000 SPX 200 SPY over the next year or so before the SCW4 bottom and SCW5 run back up to 3500+/- several years out. Trump gets the S&P 2000 correction out of the way after the midterms and hopefully will see the Bull Run back up towards 3500 during the 2020 elections - will be interesting to measure any election cycle impact on the shorter minor and intermediate wave technical targets.

Good Hunting...

Deepdiver
NBF - Nuke Boats Forever

NOTE: This discussion is not intended as investment advice in any way, shape, or form and is mentioned for informational purposes only for discussing that we are now making a major Market Top and entering a Major S&P 38 Year Long Supercycle Top Wave 3 to 4 Reversal. Seek competent professional advice to determine your risk tolerance before trading Options or Futures contracts. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.