(02-18-2012 10:40 AM)tenderman100 Wrote: A couple of responses to the OP.
First, it is a GOOD thing that the dollar is the reserve currency; it allows our economy to stand at the center of world economy,and, if dollar supply increases are managed effectively (more on that later), then wealth creation is the end result.
Although I disagree with the rest of your points, tenderman100, this is actually true. We're "exporting" a considerable proportion of our total inflation to other countries, not just those that buy our bonds, but also those that trade with each other in USD as they hold dollars in between transactions for a finite (nonzero) amount of time. However, not only have many countries (China and Russia in particular) become recent sellers of T-notes (to the future detriment of the dollar), but there have also been several recent instances of 3rd-party countries dispensing with the USD for mutual trade (Iran and India, for instance).
When prices rise here in earnest due to our decades of inflation, most of that capital will come rushing back to the US; its holders will try to buy
anything they can get their hands on here (stocks, property, commodities, &al.) lest their capital become entirely worthless. It's been estimated by G. Edward Griffin, another noted exposer of the Central Banking Cartel, that whatever augmented inflation rate is required to cause this influx of capital will quadruple the effective rate of price increases for some time.
(02-18-2012 10:40 AM)tenderman100 Wrote: Second, a central bank, like the Federal Reserve, is essential for a smooth operation of currency supply. Now, the Federal Reserve has been TOTALLY mismanaged over the past 25 years, for a variety of reasons. But mismanaging an institution, doesn't necessarily mean the institution is flawed.
No, mismanaging of an institution does not strictly mean that the institution is itself undesireable. In this case, however, a central bank that creates money from debt is harmful no matter whether its inflation rate seems "high" or "low" to us - it is still engaging in grand larceny from those who use its depreciating dollars (and we are pretty much forced to, given that taxes must be paid in USD, debts are declared legal tender in USD, and we are subject to 15% capital gains taxes when we flee to precious metals) to the Banksters and Gov. Expansion of the money supply also causes the boom-bust cycle. I'll detail how if you're interested (I'll really just be quoting Rothbard and Mises, so if you've read their works I'll have no new info for you).
(02-18-2012 10:40 AM)tenderman100 Wrote: Third, the creation of additional currency is ESSENTIAL to an economy's growth. Think about it. If the supply of currency DEcreases, or stays steady, then currency hoarding becomes incentivized, and people, invariably, move to a barter economy. Trust me, you DON"T want a barter economy. In contrast, if you have a steady but slow growth in the currency supply, businesses and individuals now can take that money, invest in productive activity to generate wealth.
Sorry my friend, but the choice between a [fictional - there have always been mediums of exchange available to people save when the State forbade their use, mainly because the privately-preferred mediums weren't depreciating like the State's were] primitive barter economy, wherein no medium of exchange is used and one must seek out sellers of desired goods who are also interested in one's own goods, and a fiat banking system, is a false one. In a truly free society, there would be competing medims of exchange advertised by their managers for quality and difficulty of counterfeiting. In practice, the efficiency of the *pure* market system (As distinct from the crony crapitalism we now suffer under as from pure socialism!) would ensure that these coins or banknote certificates for precious metals were completely backed by precious metals and thus subject to no inflationary conjuring.
The argument that there would be widespread deflation in a free society is probably the most common one against free coinage. Let me first point out that, for the US to introduce gold-backed money in any form (say, the more moderate State-issued type rather than the anarcho-libertarian system I personally prefer), there would have to be *considerable* debt-liquidation - deflation of the money supply. The sooner these bad debts, incurred in part due to central-bank falsification of economic conditions, are purged, the better, for capital will no longer have to be diverted from productive enterprises to fund imperfectly-planned projects and, moreover, the banksters who are paid for their money-printing thefts.
Anyways, in an economic system wherein currenc[y/ies] are voluntarily accepted by consumers and backed by something of innate value (given consumer desires, usually precious metals), the natural deflationary pressure of an increasing population is completely balanced by increased incentives for mining enterprises to mine, refine, &c. increased quantities of precious metals per unit time. The deflationary misconception is no doubt exacerbated by the fact that most people who understand the central banking system tend to put much of their wealth in precious metals, regarding them even as investments. Please understand that, while these measures are pretty good ways to evade the secret tax of inflation and thus necessary in our current unfree economy, they have limited 'investment' potential (they could only act as genuine investments if there is great flight pressure into them from accelerating inflation and they become more valuable due to their value-storing abilities), and in a free society, people would rarely park their wealth in 'cash'; rather, it would be profitable only for them to invest it, directly or through third parties.
(02-18-2012 10:40 AM)tenderman100 Wrote: Now, the Fed has totally mismanaged the currency, beginning in the Greenspan era and now into the Bernanke era. Too many dollars are floating around out there.
Truly. However, the expansion of the money supply by even 1% / annum is immoral and unproductive.
(02-18-2012 10:40 AM)tenderman100 Wrote: The reason the economy is in the toilet right now is that households, being smarter than financial elites, are de-leveraging. The financial elites -- governments, bankers -- can't bring themselves to do it, because it takes away their reason for existence (Politicians: giving out goodies via borrowed money to get re-elected. Bankers: earning big bonuses on pseudo profits from re-arranging securities).
Until the financial elites get their shit together, we will remain in big economic trouble.
Sadly, they've got their personal shit together. Something tells me that Helicopter Ben won't be going hungry in 2 years: they know what's coming and will emerge unscathed. We need to get ours together!
If the central banks were to de-leverage, this would at least better approximate what the free market would do if unfettered by the Banksters, and would thus be vastly preferable to our current situation.