Post: #676

I predict Biden will fall out early, and three of the current top contenders will arrive at the Dem convention with about equal numbers of delegates, counting super delegates as well.

This part's not a prediction, it's a certainty: all three finalists will be crazy.

Post: #677

(05-03-2019 11:45 AM)911 Wrote:  It's pretty clear now, with nearly 6 months to go, the DNC and establishment is all in behind Biden, with Buttgig in the wings as plan B, in case Biden's record and demeanor proves to be a problem in the marketplace, it's a sort of AB testing.

They're pumping Buttgig ahead of options they don't fully approve of, or don't fully control, like Sanders, Warren, Beto, and more particularly Tulsi and Yang.

The moderate middle can only take so much. My view is Buttplug is just a trojan horse to suck the air out of renegade candidates such as Bernie where Biden can't chip away as a establishment candidate. DNC wants Bernie to be a distant third or fourth and non-factor as if there is a reaper of last time it will shine the light again on thier shady superdelegates and other games they pull in the selection process.

History tells us Biden will run out of gas, flop in debates or do something dumb to flame out as he has has historically always chocked away strong primary gains he holds. If you're a Trump fan then you want this to happen as Biden matches up we versus Trump many swing states.

Overall, nothing really starts until debates and speeches start to be rolled out, up until then all the frontrunners will play it safe.

Post: #678

Buttplug is a troll job to draw out Trump and accuse him of being homophobe.
Buttplugs moral preening has no value other than to be a juicy target for Trump.

Post: #679

If America elects Buttgig our country deserves to be destroyed like Sodom was.

Post: #680

We need the kooks in Congress and the primary to pull Biden further left.

Post: #681

Great 7min review of Jones' book on Buttgig by a young blogger, Serp Kerp. He calls him "Butt-Gig", I wonder if he reads this forum...

Post: #682

I donated to Gravel since he's witty and he seems to be the only one where his far right politics are actually clearly just conformist. If he was elected he would drop the facade. Plus he's way more relatable than just about everyone else.

Biden will probably get the nom since he's the Business Dem's pet. Though if he does get elected, he'll need a REALLY strong VP.

Cory Booker's an effeminate weirdo that even if he was sane I wouldn't vote for him solely since he'll be walked all over foreignly.

Sanders might be nominated but he will lose no matter what he did afterwards

Buttplug will get some sympathy/identitarian votes but he will drop out eventually.

Never heard of Michael Bennett or just about anybody that's a white male apart from Gravel and Sanders so they will lose on that alone.

Julian Castro is probably the best pick since he has that Obama aura and isn't cringey as hell. He could also flip Texas possibly. Unlike Beta

Yang again is Leftist Ron Paul, he's a wash since he's half good half retarded.

Apart from Warren, I would just be happy to jerk off to the female noms.

Post: #683

Good article on the coming Dem debates. The debates are huge because in the primaries they have to play to their base. The more nutjobs they let into the debates, the less a candidate like Biden can pretend he's centrist. You are going to have the nut jobs asking Biden why he didn't implement a UBI and grab guns when we was Veep, which puts him in a box where he either goes on the record in favor of grabbing guns in the future to win the primary or upholding 2A rights and risk losing the primary. Just look at how well Comrade Bernie did with a Marxist platform.

Right now, 17 candidates have qualified for the debates, but that number could increase.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/44...-minefield

Post: #684

(05-03-2019 07:20 PM)RoastBeefCurtains4Me Wrote:  I predict Biden will fall out early, and three of the current top contenders will arrive at the Dem convention with about equal numbers of delegates, counting super delegates as well.

This part's not a prediction, it's a certainty: all three finalists will be crazy.

What makes you think Biden will fall out early? Arguably he is the best candidate, the least crazy, biggest threat to Trump, although he has years of skeletons in his closet that the others don't.

Post: #685

(05-09-2019 04:58 AM)Hypno Wrote:  

(05-03-2019 07:20 PM)RoastBeefCurtains4Me Wrote:  I predict Biden will fall out early, and three of the current top contenders will arrive at the Dem convention with about equal numbers of delegates, counting super delegates as well.

This part's not a prediction, it's a certainty: all three finalists will be crazy.

What makes you think Biden will fall out early? Arguably he is the best candidate, the least crazy, biggest threat to Trump, although he has years of skeletons in his closet that the others don't.

When Biden ran for president in the past, he would make a statement how he went to college on a full academic scholarship. (he didn't)

Or how he actually was in the top half of his class academically in college(he was at the bottom) and forced to suspend his campaign. He just isn't that bright. He is literally the equivalent of Dan Quayle on the left.

In 1987 he ran for president and had got busted for plagerism: he basically copied and delivered a speech from a British politician and delivered it as his own, and got found out and had to give up his campaign for president.

Why would he suddenly become a great and viable candidate in 2020 after floundering around like a moron in his previous campaigns? Because he is a former vice president? So is Dan Quayle.


edit


I guess the best case scenario for Biden: he speaks the working man's dialect and maybe people in swing states like Pennsylvania and Michigan and Wisconsin would have an easier time relating to him and voting for him than Sanders, Warren, Buttigieg, Harris? I guess? I'm not really sure about his appeal? He has name recognition. People know who he is. That may give him and Sanders an edge, but he could easily make some sort of series of idiotic statements and is forced to stop running.


He is running again for 2020, and is basically the same Biden but more senile and much older than his previous attempts.


Given that the fix is basically in, and that companies like google, facebook are going all in to make sure they do everything they can to ensure the democrat candidate wins, Biden could easily win and be another Obama. But he likely will be too old to run in 2024

Post: #686

(05-06-2019 09:40 AM)godfather dust Wrote:  If America elects Buttgig our country deserves to be destroyed like Sodom was.

Haha I feel the same way. If a known fudgepacker sits in the Oval Office, I'd say it's basically game over.

That being said, I wonder how many presidents were on the down low? I know there are rumors about Obama but out of 45 people, I'm sure there were more.

Post: #687

(05-09-2019 05:52 PM)TigerMandingo Wrote:  

(05-06-2019 09:40 AM)godfather dust Wrote:  If America elects Buttgig our country deserves to be destroyed like Sodom was.

Haha I feel the same way. If a known fudgepacker sits in the Oval Office, I'd say it's basically game over.

That being said, I wonder how many presidents were on the down low? I know there are rumors about Obama but out of 45 people, I'm sure there were more.

The main allegations are about James Buchanan, a "confirmed bachelor," and Abraham Lincoln, based on a youthful friendship. Back then, people weren't as rigidly categorized as gay or straight, it was just thought that sodomy was sinning.

Post: #688

Yes, the idea of a "homosexual" is/was a modern innovation, I believe beginning in Germany in the late 19th to early 20th century, then picked up and broadcast with fervor once identity politics started to gain favor as a way to manipulate the masses...

Post: #689

The only electable candidates are Trump, O'Rourke, and Delaney.


Look at the Democrats who won the Presidency since 1960

Obama -- Black skin, but raised by a white family (the heart of a white man)

This means he got most of the black vote but still could talk intelligibly to Leftist whites

Clinton -- Southern white male

Carter -- Southern white male

Johnson -- Southern white male

Kennedy -- Face on the $1 coin (Supremely talented, old money status, and ordained at birth for high national office)


Moral of the story... you gotta be

1) A man

2) White (or Black but raised white)

3) From the south (or Black)

or else ridiculously talented, the son of an old elite family and headed for a bust on Mt. Rushmore

4) Straight




Let's see if any of the contenders fit this criteria...


Biden: nope (working-class Yankee)

Sanders: nope (Jewish working-class Yankee)

Harris: nope (California woman, raised by black parents)

Warren: nope (Yankee woman)

Booker: nope (Yankee, raised by black parents)

Gillibrand: nope (Yankee woman)

Klobuchar: nope (Yankee woman)

Bennet: nope (Westerner)

O’Rourke: Maybe (Southern white man, but uses a Latino name)

Buttigieg: nope (Gay yankee)

Inslee: nope (Westerner)

Hickenlooper: nope (Westerner)

Castro: nope (raised by Latino parents)

Gabbard nope: (Hawaiian woman)

Swalwell: nope (Westerner)

Ryan: nope (working-class Yankee)

Moulton: nope (working-class Yankee)

Delaney: yes (white Southerner)

Yang: nope (Asian-American)

Williamson: nope (woman)

Post: #690

Post: #691

To settle the question of who can win a general presidential election

here is a flow-chart

   

The only qualified running in 2020 are:

Donald Trump -- white male Republican

John Delaney -- white Southern male Democrat. Won't win nomination.

Robert O'Rourke -- white Southern male Democrat

But O'Rourke won't win the nomination. A noob. He will be a viable contender down the road.


Nobody running fits the criteria that Obama pioneered,

which is black Democrat raised by white parent, and thus essentially white.

Post: #692

Excitement level = 1/1024 :

Post: #693

Even her own people dont want her.

Post: #694

(05-11-2019 11:43 PM)rpg Wrote:  Even her own people dont want her.

How many Indians you see on that bus, John Smith?

Post: #695

Tulsi on Joe Rogan today

- Great talks on foreign policy, MIC, "humanitarian wars", foreign lobbying to impact foreign policy, social media monopoly and free speech (she actually brings up the PJW ban , indirectly, and how it's so wrong and dangerous for free speech) and much much more.

Looks like she's "monitoring" it every bit as closely as Mr. President

Post: #696

(05-11-2019 11:43 PM)rpg Wrote:  Even her own people dont want her.

She's a sellout and most everyone can tell by now. She rose to prominence as a consumer advocate against corporate excess and exploitation and also published a fairly astute and practical book about family finances (The Two-Income Trap), but once elected just became another mouthpiece for the Democrat party line. It's been clear for years that she just says whatever the party tells her to say and given that the Democrats are way off in clown world this hasn't done so well with her audience.

She's a reasonably decent rhetorician but that's not enough especially when you have someone like Trump in play taking the wind out of Pocahontas' sails with ease.

Post: #697

(05-03-2019 12:08 PM)The Black Knight Wrote:  That said, I still think Biden is a very weak candidate by DEM standards in 2020. Super old heterosexual white males that are corporate/wall street whore democrats aren't really the trendy thing right now among liberal circles. He is ripe to Jeb Bush'ed in the primaries by Sanders, Yang, Warren, or Tulsi. It will likely be a combination of all of them chipping away at Biden while the far-left online goes full retard and tries to take the political scalp of the old white man/wall street whore.

Right the issue is who else is can unite the coalition of the fringes against white men without alienating some large fraction of their base especially the white women?

Quote:I don't see the 2020 DEM primary being like 2016, where there was a clear deference to Hillary. Biden is gonna get hit constantly from various directions from within DEM circles.

Yeah this is correct I think. The 538 endorsement primary revealed this in 2016. Basically, endorsements were an overwhelming for Hillary from the beginning and never budged. This is why it wasn't hard to predict the DNC sabotaging Bernie's campaign. Biden doesn't even have a majority of current endorsements, with hundreds of endorsements not yet announced.

Post: #698

This is Biden's biggest problem:

Post: #699

He is done. Like I said, Biden takes out Biden.

Post: #700

I sad both of these things long ago:

Kamala Harris &

Doesn't matter

... because Trump wins.